The Weekly Edge

Surprise Surprise 

Surprise Surprise 

Surprise, surprise, the unexpected hits you between the eyesThe unpredictable, that’s the surprise you see, surprise! surprise! “Surprise Surprise”, Cilia Black Surprise Surprise, with Cilia Black as its host and singer of its theme song (which has recently become a...

With or Without You 

With or Without You 

“See the Stone Set in Your Eyes…” Last week began with a bang as an apparent Artificial Intelligence (AI) breakthrough out of China called into question the narrative driving much of the recent U.S. equity market moves. By Friday morning, however, monetary policy,...

The Reason 

The Reason 

I’ve found a reason for meTo change who I used to beA reason to start over newAnd the reason is you “The Reason”, Hoobastank In the hubbub of the inauguration, the bulled-up CEOs at the World Economic Forum, a flurry of executive orders, AI competition, and earnings...

Labor Market Showing Its Flair 

Labor Market Showing Its Flair 

“Did you get that memo?” Fed rate cuts appear to be on hold. Global government bond markets are in retreat. And stocks have been jittery in the opening days of 2025. The trend for each of these hinges, to varying extents, on whether the U.S. job creating machine can...

What Year Is It? 

What Year Is It? 

Read Instructions Carefully The investing world has awoken from a two-week holiday slumber, and a new year has begun. 2025 starts, as most years do, with more questions than answers. But the outcome for the global economy and financial markets seems unusually...

Follow You Down 

Follow You Down 

Anywhere you go, I’ll follow you down I’ll follow you down, but not that far “Follow you Down”, Gin Blossoms Splintering of relationships is common, if not expected, in rock band lore. Some schisms prove temporary and seem to heal with time (and money… like Oasis),...

Nowadays 

Nowadays 

But oh, it’s heavenNowadays “Nowadays”, Roxie Hart, Chicago the Musical It’s good, isn’t it? “Let me start by saying that we think the economy is in a really good place, and we think policy is in a really good place.” Grand, isn’t it? “The economy is strong overall...

Maybe This Time 

Maybe This Time 

In the grand ranking of defeated and desperate pleas for love and acceptance, Fräulein Sally Bowles’ haunting “Maybe This Time” at the end of the first act of Cabaret takes the cake (we are partial to Natasha Richardson’s rendition from the 1998 revival).  In a close...

The Show Must Go On 

The Show Must Go On 

Outside the Dawn is Breaking…on 2025 Our last Weekly Edge addressed the potential that we could see improving economic data in the wake of the U.S. election, reflected by more optimistic consumer and business survey responses. Since then, we’ve seen that effect...

Hard and Soft 

Hard and Soft 

Those of us raised on science fiction movies know the difference between the “hard” and “soft” parts of the genre. Soft sci-fi films, like Jurassic Park or Star Wars, prioritize human emotion over plausibility, which is often what makes them crowd-pleasers. But a...